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	<title>My Carolina Loan &#187; Case-Shiller Index</title>
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	<description>Mortgage News in the Carolinas</description>
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		<title>Case-Shiller Posts 16th Straight Month Of Home Price Improvement</title>
		<link>http://mycarolinaloan.com/2010/%month%/case-shiller-index-june-2010.html</link>
		<comments>http://mycarolinaloan.com/2010/%month%/case-shiller-index-june-2010.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Sep 2010 12:46:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Brown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mycarolinaloan.com/?p=1380</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to the Standard &#038; Poors Case-Shiller Index, home values rose 5 percent in June versus the month prior, and 4 percent from a year earlier.  It's the 16th consecutive month in which Case-Shiller reported an increase in home values and the third straight month of outstanding results.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Geoff Brown and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller Change In Home Values May-June 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-201006.png" alt="Case-Shiller Change In Home Values May-June 2010" width="450" height="438" /></p>
<p>According to the Standard &amp; Poors Case-Shiller Index, <a title="Case-Shiller June 2010" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/sp-case-shiller-home-price-indices/en/us/?indexId=spusa-cashpidff--p-us----" target="_blank">home values rose 5 percent in June</a> versus the month prior, and 4 percent from a year earlier.  It&#8217;s the 16th consecutive month in which Case-Shiller reported an increase in home values and the third straight month of outstanding results.</p>
<p>That said, homeowners and home buyers in Charlotte would do well to temper Case-Shiller enthusiasm. The June figures are issued on 60-day delay and, over the last 60 days, housing data has been lackluster at best.</p>
<ul>
<li>Existing Home Sales are <a title="Existing Home Sales July 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/08/ehs_fall" target="_blank">down 27 percent</a></li>
<li>New Home Sales are <a title="new Home Sales July 2010" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE67N3B320100825" target="_blank">down 12 percent</a></li>
<li>Homebuilder confidence <a title="NAHB builder confidence for August 2010" href="http://www.nahb.org/news_details.aspx?newsID=11186" target="_blank">is down</a></li>
</ul>
<p>Stories like these highlight a key weakness of the Case-Shiller Index &#8212; it&#8217;s out of date as soon as it&#8217;s published. Because of this, the Case-Shiller Index relevance to everyday Americans is muted. People don&#8217;t buy homes in the &#8220;60 days ago&#8221; real estate market, after all.</p>
<p>June is ancient real estate history.</p>
<p>However, the Case-Shiller Index <em>does </em>have its place. As the most widely-followed, private-sector housing tracker, the index is used to help make policy decisions and to shape Wall Street&#8217;s expectations of the economy. This means that a strong Case-Shiller reading can cause mortgage rates to rise, and a weak Case-Shiller reading can cause rates to fall.</p>
<p>Tuesday, mortgage rates fell.</p>
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		<title>Case-Shiller- Home Price Improvement In 90% Of Cities including Charlotte</title>
		<link>http://mycarolinaloan.com/2010/%month%/case-shiller-index-april-2010.html</link>
		<comments>http://mycarolinaloan.com/2010/%month%/case-shiller-index-april-2010.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jun 2010 12:46:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Brown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Price Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mycarolinaloan.com/?p=1274</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In reviewing the April Case-Shiller Index and its accompanying analysis, it appears that the housing market's rebound is gathering momentum.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Geoff Brown and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller Change In Home Values Mar-Apr 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-201004.png" alt="Case-Shiller Change In Home Values Mar-Apr 2010" width="450" height="438" /></p>
<p>Standard &amp; Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The index is a monthly home valuation report from select cities and among the private sector&#8217;s most popular home pricing models.</p>
<p>In reviewing the April Case-Shiller Index and <a title="Case-Shiller April 2010" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/servlet/BlobServer?blobheadername3=MDT-Type&amp;blobcol=urldocumentfile&amp;blobtable=SPComSecureDocument&amp;blobheadervalue2=inline%3B+filename%3Ddownload.pdf&amp;blobheadername2=Content-Disposition&amp;blobheadervalue1=application%2Fpdf&amp;blobkey=id&amp;blobheadername1=content-type&amp;blobwhere=1245215120051&amp;blobheadervalue3=abinary%3B+charset%3DUTF-8&amp;blobnocache=true" target="_blank">its accompanying analysis</a>, it appears that the housing market&#8217;s rebound is gathering momentum.</p>
<p>In the index&#8217;s 20 tracked cities:</p>
<ul>
<li>18 of 20 improved from March to April 2010</li>
<li>Versus April 2009, home prices are up nearly 4 percent</li>
<li>The two &#8220;down&#8221; cities from April &#8212; Miami and New York &#8212; are off just 0.5% and 1.0% annually, respectively</li>
</ul>
<p>Furthermore, as another sign of strength, San Diego, a city in which homeowners have lost a lot of equity since 2007, has now shown 12 straight months of home price improvement.</p>
<p>However, the Case-Shiller Index must be kept in context. It&#8217;s far from perfect.</p>
<p>For one, the index reports on a 60-day delay; it&#8217;s only now showing data from the end of April, when the federal homebuyer tax credit was expiring. Home sales have been weak since then <a title="Existing Home Sales report May 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/06/may_strong_pace" target="_blank">it&#8217;s been reported</a>.</p>
<p>And second, the Case-Shiller Index is limited to just 20 cities nationwide. Therefore, the index doesn&#8217;t consider every home sale in every American city &#8212; it only considers a select few. Many more U.S. homes are <em>ex</em>cluded from the Case-Shiller Index than are <em>in</em>cluded.</p>
<p>But, despite its flaws, the Case-Shiller Index remains important with respect to economic analysis. Much like the government’s <a title="Home Price Index" href="http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/15866/HPIApr2010PR62210.pdf" target="_blank">Home Price Index</a>, Case-Shiller helps to identify broader trends in housing that shape government and monetary policy.</p>
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		<title>December 2009 Case-Shiller Data Shows Battered Markets In Bona Fide Recovery</title>
		<link>http://mycarolinaloan.com/2010/%month%/case-shiller-index-december-2009.html</link>
		<comments>http://mycarolinaloan.com/2010/%month%/case-shiller-index-december-2009.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 13:46:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Brown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Prices]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mycarolinaloan.com/?p=1013</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Using data compiled in December, Standard &#038; Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down just 2.5% on an annual basis, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Geoff Brown and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller Monthly Change Nov 2009-Dec 2009" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-200912.png" alt="Case-Shiller Monthly Change Nov 2009-Dec 2009" width="420" height="409" /></p>
<p>Using data compiled in December, Standard &amp; Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down <a title="Case-Shiller December 2009 Report" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/servlet/BlobServer?blobheadername3=MDT-Type&amp;blobcol=urldocumentfile&amp;blobtable=SPComSecureDocument&amp;blobheadervalue2=inline%3B+filename%3Ddownload.pdf&amp;blobheadername2=Content-Disposition&amp;blobheadervalue1=application%2Fpdf&amp;blobkey=id&amp;blobheadername1=content-type&amp;blobwhere=1245206345483&amp;blobheadervalue3=abinary%3B+charset%3DUTF-8&amp;blobnocache=true" target="_blank">just 2.5% on an annual basis</a>, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.</p>
<p>According to Case-Shiller representatives, the housing market is &#8220;in better shape than it was this time last year&#8221;, but some of the summer&#8217;s momentum has been lost. 15 of 20 tracked markets declined in value between November and December 2009.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, it&#8217;s interesting to note the 5 markets that <em>didn&#8217;t</em> decline &#8212; Detroit, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego.  Each of these metro regions were among the hardest hit nationwide when home prices first broke.  Now, they&#8217;re leading the pack in price recovery.</p>
<p>For some real estate investors, that&#8217;s a positive signal.  But we also have to consider <a title="Case-Shiller Methodology" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/servlet/BlobServer?blobheadername3=MDT-Type&amp;blobcol=urldata&amp;blobtable=MungoBlobs&amp;blobheadervalue2=inline%3B+filename%3DMethdology_SP_CS_Home_Price_Indices_Web.pdf&amp;blobheadername2=Content-Disposition&amp;blobheadervalue1=application%2Fpdf&amp;blobkey=id&amp;blobheadername1=content-type&amp;blobwhere=1243624745188&amp;blobheadervalue3=UTF-8" target="_blank">the Case-Shiller Index&#8217;s flaws</a> because they&#8217;re big ones.</p>
<p>As examples:</p>
<ol>
<li>Case-Shiller data is reported on a 2-month lag</li>
<li>The Case-Shiller sample set includes just 20 U.S. cities</li>
<li>There&#8217;s no &#8220;national real estate market&#8221; &#8212; real estate is local</li>
</ol>
<p>That said, the Case-Shiller Index is still important. As the most widely-used private sector housing index, Case-Shiller helps to identify broader housing trends and many people believe housing is a key element in the economic recovery.</p>
<p>If the markets that led the housing decline will lead the housing resurgence, December&#8217;s data shows that full recovery is right around the corner.</p>
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