Mortgage News in the Carolinas
Posts tagged Ben Bernanke
A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (August 9, 2011 Edition)
0284 days
by Geoff Brown
in Federal Reserve
Tuesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
The vote was 7-3 — the first time in 5 meetings that the nation’s Central Bank was non-unanimous and the first time since 1992 that the FOMC adjourned with as many as three dissenters.
In its press release, the FOMC had little good to say about the U.S. economy, noting that since its last meeting in July:
- Growth has been “considerably slower” than expected
- Labor market conditions have deteriorated
- Household spendng has “flattened”
The Fed also noted that the housing sector remains depressed.
On the positive side, the Fed said that business investment in equipment and software continues to expand, and that energy costs have dropped and no longer contribute to inflationary pressures on the economy.
In fact, the Fed worries that inflation may be running too low for the country’s good.
To that end, the Federal Reserve has pledged to keep the Fed Funds Rate in its current range near 0.000 percent “at least until mid-2013″. This is a departure from prior statements in which the Fed gave no such date.
Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been positive this afternoon. Mortgage rates in Carolinas are improving, but note that sentiment can shift quickly — especially in a market as uncertain as this one.
If today’s mortgage rates look good in your household budget, consider locking in a rate.
The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is September 20, 2011.
What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : June 13, 2011
0342 days
by Geoff Brown
in Mortgage Rates
Mortgage markets moved in feverish fashion last week, changing with extreme frequency, and eventually ending slightly worse on the week. Conforming mortgage fell last week but, by Friday, they had retreated higher.
Last week marked just the second time in 10 weeks that rates in Charlotte increased. During that span, Freddie Mac reports that mortgage rates have dropped 42 basis points, or 0.42%.
That equates to a monthly savings of $25.24 per $100,000 borrowed.
One reason why mortgage rates have been dropping is that the economy is growing more slowly than projected. In a speech last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke described the U.S. recovery as “frustratingly slow”. In a separate speech, another Federal Reserve President, William Dudley, categorized the recovery as “subpar”.
Economic weakness tends to promote a low mortgage rate environment as equity markets sell off and investors seek safety of principal. Indeed, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell for the 6th straight week, its longest losing streak since 2002.
Mortgage rates were also helped by ongoing uncertainty in Greece. The nation remains at-risk for default, and that’s spurring a bond market to flight-to-quality which benefits the U.S. mortgage market, too.
This week, mortgage rates may reverse their recent slide. There isn’t much data due for release, but the numbers that will hit the wires have the ability to move markets — especially the inflation-linked figures.
- Tuesday : Producer Price Index, Retail Sales
- Wednesday : Consumer Price Index
- Thursday : Housing Starts
- Friday : Consumer Sentiment
If you’ve been looking at mortgage rates for a purchase or refinance, now may be a good time to lock. FHA and conforming rates are at their lowest levels since December 2010.
Going forward, rates have much more room to rise than to fall.
What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : April 25, 2011
0391 days
by Geoff Brown
in Mortgage Rates
Mortgage markets improved slightly through last week’s holiday-shortened trading sessions. Better-than-expected housing data led mortgage rates higher Tuesday and Wednesday, but rates retreated Thursday morning in advance of Good Friday.
Markets were closed Thursday afternoon and Friday. They re-open this morning.
Conforming mortgage rates in Carolinas ended last week unchanged overall. It’s a strange outcome considering that Standard & Poor’s issued a downgrade on U.S. debt Monday.
In most instances, a debt downgrade would lead investors away from a particular group of securities — in this case, a group that includes mortgage-backed bonds. However, Wall Street reacted in the opposite.
When S&P issued its opinion, however, mortgage bonds rallied.
Some say this is because the downgrade will force Congress to address a rising debt-load; others think a downgrade slows growth which, in turn, slows down inflation. Both scenarios are considered a positive for mortgage bonds. Hence, mortgage rates fell.
This week, momentum could reverse. In addition to a slew of housing and economic data including New Home Sales, Pending Home Sales, and Consumer Confidence data, the Federal Open Market Committee is meeting for the third time this year. And this month, the FOMC is meeting a little differently.
Usually, when the FOMC gets together, it adjourns and releases a press statement to the markets at 2:15 PM ET. This month, though, the FOMC will release its statement at 12:30 PM ET, and then Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will hold a press briefing at 2:15 PM ET to address the aforementioned statement. He’s expected to add growth forecasts to the official FOMC release, among other items.
Whenever the FOMC meets, mortgage rates can be volatile. This week, with the new press briefing format, that volatility is even more likely.
If you’re floating a mortgage rate or wondering whether to lock, mortgage rates will be at their “calmest” levels of the week Monday and Tuesday. Once Wednesday hits, and the FOMC statements begin, expect for rates to change.
A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (March 15, 2011 Edition)
0431 days
by Geoff Brown
in FOMC
Today, for the second straight meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
The vote was 10-0.
In its press release, the FOMC noted that since its January 2011 meeting, the economic recovery “is on firming footing”, and that the labor markets are “improving gradually”. In addition, household spending “continues to expand”. Nonetheless, the Fed said, the economy remains constrained by rising commodity prices and the “depressed” housing sector.
The FOMC statement also re-affirms the group’s plan to keep the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period”, and to keep its $600 billion bond market support package — more commonly called “QE2″ — intact.
And, lastly, for the third straight time, the Federal Open Market Committee’s post-meeting release statement included a paragraph detailing the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate of managing inflation levels, and fostering maximum employment. Although it acknowledged inflationary pressures on the economy, the Fed said inflation remains too low for the economy currently, and that unemployment remains “elevated”.
In time, the Fed expects both measurements to improve.
Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC has been negative since the statement’s release. Mortgage rates in Charlotte are unchanged, but poised to worsen.
The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is a 1-day event, March 15, 2011.
